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22 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VCVojtech Cerny
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1503
3-1Final setsCerny won
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1438
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cerny at 53%. The actual result was Vojtech Cerny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dmitro Parhomenko favoured — closing 1.83
Upset
Total 75.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.31
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vojtech Cerny is favoured to win, below means Dmitro Parhomenko.

▲ Vojtech Cernypre 50% → final 98%
Dmitro Parhomenko ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsCerny recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games