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23 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RPRadim Pavelka
🇨🇿Radim Pavelka
ELO 1559
2-3Final setsProkupek won
JPJaroslav Prokupek
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1474
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pavelka at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslav Prokupek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pavelka favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 75.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pavelka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pavelka −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radim Pavelka is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Prokupek.

▲ Radim Pavelkapre 51% → final 99%
Jaroslav Prokupek ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsPavelka recovered from 21%70 points · 4 games