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23 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DTDaniel Tuma
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1535
2-3Final setsVondrak won
MVMichal Vondrak
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vondrak at 51%. The actual result was Michal Vondrak 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Vondrak favoured — closing 1.61
Favourite won
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Vondrak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Tuma is favoured to win, below means Michal Vondrak.

▲ Daniel Tumapre 53% → final 99%
Michal Vondrak ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts56 points · 3 games