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23 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DLDaniel Langer
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1562
1-3Final setsMartinak won
LMLukas Martinak
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1587
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Martinak at 50%. The actual result was Lukas Martinak 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martinak favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 81.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Martinak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martinak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.78
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Langer is favoured to win, below means Lukas Martinak.

▲ Daniel Langerpre 46% → final 0%
Lukas Martinak ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMartinak recovered from 32%72 points · 4 games