24 Oct · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Petr Hejl Jnr
ELO 1537
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jnr
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1437
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)