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24 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ATAndrii Tkachenko
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1345
3-0Final setsTkachenko won
DTDavid Tomasch
🇨🇿David Tomasch
ELO 1286
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkachenko at 52%. The actual result was Andrii Tkachenko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Andrii Tkachenko favoured — closing 1.74
Favourite won
Total 76.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Andrii Tkachenko −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Andrii Tkachenko is favoured to win, below means David Tomasch.

▲ Andrii Tkachenkopre 49% → final 23%
David Tomasch ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsTomasch recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games