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25 Oct · 07:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DBDavid Barton
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1459
1-3Final setsDolezal won
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Barton at 53%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Barton favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Barton −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Barton −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.72
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Barton is favoured to win, below means Vaclav Dolezal.

▲ David Bartonpre 57% → final 5%
Vaclav Dolezal ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsDolezal recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games