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25 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1445
3-2Final setsStefek won
MSMilan Smrcek
🇨🇿Milan Smrcek
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smrcek at 53%. The actual result was Martin Stefek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smrcek favoured — closing 1.51
Upset
Total 75.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Smrcek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Smrcek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Milan Smrcek.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 43% → final 76%
Milan Smrcek ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsStefek recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games