26 Oct · 01:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1528
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krejci
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)