26 Oct · 00:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1694
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zahradka
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1654
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Postelt🌟Postelt covers set handicap as underdog 72% (155)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H32-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.