26 Oct · 00:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1615
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zmuda
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1528
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)