25 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1513
3-0Final setsBayer won
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1488
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Volf at 50%. The actual result was Ales Bayer 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Ales Bayer favoured — closing 1.73
Total 76.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Ales Bayer −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Ales Bayer −2.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Bayer is favoured to win, below means Matej Volf.
▲ Ales Bayerpre 54% → final 99%
Matej Volf ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsBayer recovered from 41%52 points · 3 games