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25 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJaroslav Martinek
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1346
2-3Final setsKostak won
MKMatej Kostak
🇨🇿Matej Kostak
ELO 1439
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kostak at 53%. The actual result was Matej Kostak 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kostak favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
110 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kostak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kostak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.8
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Martinek is favoured to win, below means Matej Kostak.

▲ Jaroslav Martinekpre 43% → final 49%
Matej Kostak ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKostak recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games