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25 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMichal Syroha
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1418
2-3Final setsKostak won
MKMatej Kostak
🇨🇿Matej Kostak
ELO 1439
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kostak at 51%. The actual result was Matej Kostak 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Syroha favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Syroha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Syroha −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.82
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Syroha is favoured to win, below means Matej Kostak.

▲ Michal Syrohapre 45% → final 0%
Matej Kostak ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKostak recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games