25 Oct · 22:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1524
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojt
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1513
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H21-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.