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DeuceLab
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25 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1497
3-0Final setsDolezal won
MSMilan Smrcek
🇨🇿Milan Smrcek
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smrcek at 53%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smrcek favoured — closing 1.36
Upset
Total 74.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Smrcek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Smrcek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.26
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Dolezal is favoured to win, below means Milan Smrcek.

▲ Vaclav Dolezalpre 43% → final 100%
Milan Smrcek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsDolezal recovered from 36%57 points · 3 games