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25 Oct · 12:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Sobisek
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1511
3-1Final setsSobisek won
DTDaniel Tuma
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tuma at 52%. The actual result was Martin Sobisek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Daniel Tuma favoured — closing 1.77
Upset
Total 76.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Daniel Tuma −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Daniel Tuma −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobisek is favoured to win, below means Daniel Tuma.

▲ Martin Sobisekpre 44% → final 89%
Daniel Tuma ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsSobisek recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games