25 Oct · 22:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1551
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Koral
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zurek
Fair odds · Koral
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.