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24 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
YHYurii Holovatiuk
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1516
3-1Final setsHolovatiuk won
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1430
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Holovatiuk at 55%. The actual result was Yurii Holovatiuk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Holovatiuk favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 78.5
77 points played
Under
Set handicap
Holovatiuk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Holovatiuk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.35
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Yurii Holovatiuk is favoured to win, below means Dmitro Parhomenko.

▲ Yurii Holovatiukpre 52% → final 100%
Dmitro Parhomenko ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsHolovatiuk recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games