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25 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1445
0-3Final setsDolezal won
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dolezal at 52%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dolezal favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 76.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dolezal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dolezal −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Vaclav Dolezal.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 44% → final 95%
Vaclav Dolezal ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsStefek recovered from 29%60 points · 3 games