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25 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMatej Kostak
🇨🇿Matej Kostak
ELO 1439
3-1Final setsKostak won
MSMichal Syroha
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1398
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kostak at 51%. The actual result was Matej Kostak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kostak favoured — closing 1.54
Favourite won
Total 76.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kostak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kostak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.29
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matej Kostak is favoured to win, below means Michal Syroha.

▲ Matej Kostakpre 55% → final 100%
Michal Syroha ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKostak recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games