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25 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Sobisek
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1511
1-3Final setsBayer won
ABAles Bayer
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1513
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobisek at 51%. The actual result was Ales Bayer 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Sobisek favoured — closing 1.69
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Martin Sobisek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martin Sobisek −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobisek is favoured to win, below means Ales Bayer.

▲ Martin Sobisekpre 47% → final 23%
Ales Bayer ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsBayer recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games