26 Oct · 18:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1418
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Briza
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1476
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Briza
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H15-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.