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26 Oct · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TMTomas Milkov
🇨🇿Tomas Milkov
ELO 1481
1-3Final setsKowolowski won
MKMiroslav Kowolowski
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1534
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowolowski at 52%. The actual result was Miroslav Kowolowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milkov favoured — closing 1.53
Upset
Total 76.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Milkov −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milkov −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
6.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Milkov is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Kowolowski.

▲ Tomas Milkovpre 51% → final 0%
Miroslav Kowolowski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKowolowski recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games