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27 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMilan Smrcek
🇨🇿Milan Smrcek
ELO 1489
1-3Final setsKucirek won
OKOndrej Kucirek
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1485
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smrcek at 51%. The actual result was Ondrej Kucirek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smrcek favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 77.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Smrcek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Smrcek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.32
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Smrcek is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Kucirek.

▲ Milan Smrcekpre 55% → final 1%
Ondrej Kucirek ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsKucirek recovered from 16%68 points · 4 games