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27 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1490
3-0Final setsStefek won
DBDavid Barton
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1458
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stefek at 51%. The actual result was Martin Stefek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Barton favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Barton −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Barton −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.33
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means David Barton.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 47% → final 100%
David Barton ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsStefek recovered from 43%68 points · 4 games