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28 Oct · 04:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LMLudek Madle
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1367
3-2Final setsMadle won
LHLeos Havrda
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1335
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madle at 51%. The actual result was Ludek Madle 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Madle favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Madle −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Madle −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ludek Madle is favoured to win, below means Leos Havrda.

▲ Ludek Madlepre 47% → final 100%
Leos Havrda ▼
Biggest swing 94 ptsMadle recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games