29 Oct · 10:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1580
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cabak
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1556
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.