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28 Oct · 22:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1530
3-1Final setsStefek won
MUMartin Ulrych
🇨🇿Martin Ulrych
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stefek at 51%. The actual result was Martin Stefek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Stefek favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Stefek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Stefek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Martin Ulrych.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 55% → final 100%
Martin Ulrych ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsStefek recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games