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01 Nov · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Sobisek
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1559
3-1Final setsSobisek won
ABAles Bayer
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1569
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bayer at 51%. The actual result was Martin Sobisek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bayer favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 77.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bayer −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bayer −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Sobisek is favoured to win, below means Ales Bayer.

▲ Martin Sobisekpre 45% → final 92%
Ales Bayer ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsSobisek recovered from 37%67 points · 4 games