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31 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DBDavid Barton
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1478
3-2Final setsBarton won
TRTomas Regner
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1485
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Barton at 52%. The actual result was David Barton 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Regner favoured — closing 1.72
Upset
Total 72.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Regner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Regner −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Barton is favoured to win, below means Tomas Regner.

▲ David Bartonpre 49% → final 99%
Tomas Regner ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsBarton recovered from 41%57 points · 3 games