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31 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PBPavel Berdych
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1380
1-3Final setsKasinski won
ZKZdenek Kasinski
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1382
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kasinski at 51%. The actual result was Zdenek Kasinski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kasinski favoured — closing 1.82
Favourite won
Total 82.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kasinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kasinski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pavel Berdych is favoured to win, below means Zdenek Kasinski.

▲ Pavel Berdychpre 53% → final 86%
Zdenek Kasinski ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsBerdych recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games