1 Nov · 22:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1400
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Framberk
JF
🇨🇿Jan Framberk
ELO 1439
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Framberk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.