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01 Nov · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PBPavel Berdych
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1380
3-1Final setsBerdych won
DMDavid Mutl
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mutl at 50%. The actual result was Pavel Berdych 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pavel Berdych favoured — closing 1.69
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pavel Berdych −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pavel Berdych −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pavel Berdych is favoured to win, below means David Mutl.

▲ Pavel Berdychpre 46% → final 98%
David Mutl ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsBerdych recovered from 30%70 points · 4 games