2 Nov · 13:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇨🇿Jaroslav Novotny
ELO 1462
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Novotny
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1400
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 62% (184)
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~71 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.