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02 Nov · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MVMiroslav Vaclavik
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1391
3-1Final setsVaclavik won
ZKZdenek Kasinski
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1382
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kasinski at 50%. The actual result was Miroslav Vaclavik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Vaclavik favoured — closing 1.44
Upset
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Vaclavik is favoured to win, below means Zdenek Kasinski.

▲ Miroslav Vaclavikpre 46% → final 8%
Zdenek Kasinski ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts68 points · 4 games