3 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1713
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mares
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1704
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (339)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H53-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.