3 Nov · 20:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1521
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Musil
MM
🇨🇿Milan Musil
ELO 1553
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Musil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.