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03 Nov · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MNMatyas Navedla
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1583
3-1Final setsNavedla won
PWPavel Wawrosz
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1615
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wawrosz at 53%. The actual result was Matyas Navedla 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wawrosz favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 78.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wawrosz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wawrosz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matyas Navedla is favoured to win, below means Pavel Wawrosz.

▲ Matyas Navedlapre 43% → final 10%
Pavel Wawrosz ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsWawrosz recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games