4 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1723
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
MW
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1637
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Wagner covers set handicap as underdog 65% (113)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+86
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.