4 Nov · 12:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1534
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vondrak
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1558
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (153)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H17-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.