4 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1681
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1715
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Zahradka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (196)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H34-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.