4 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1655
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zika
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1609
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Navedla🌟Navedla covers set handicap as underdog 67% (314)
Fair odds · Zika
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H43-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.