4 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1682
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Paril
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1655
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 66% (626)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H94-82
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.