4 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IZ
🇨🇿Ivo Zikmund
ELO 1332
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zikmund
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1302
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zikmund
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.