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03 Nov · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LMLukas Malek
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1505
3-1Final setsMalek won
DPDmitro Parhomenko
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Parhomenko at 51%. The actual result was Lukas Malek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dmitro Parhomenko favoured — closing 1.62
Upset
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dmitro Parhomenko −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.29
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Malek is favoured to win, below means Dmitro Parhomenko.

▲ Lukas Malekpre 53% → final 10%
Dmitro Parhomenko ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsParhomenko recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games