4 Nov · 04:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1530
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1587
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H15-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.