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04 Nov · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1636
3-0Final setsWagner won
JSJan Simecek
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1546
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 55%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wagner favoured — closing 1.72
Favourite won
Total 75.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wagner −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wagner −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Jan Simecek.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 52% → final 96%
Jan Simecek ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsWagner recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games