5 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1428
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.001964
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1432
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · 1964
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.