5 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1519
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Taichman
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1484
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adam🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 68% (68)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H14-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.